La correzione di Bitcoin incombe ma la tenuta a breve termine aumenta

Bitcoin sta attualmente ritirandosi dai suoi massimi di tutti i tempi durante il fine settimana, mentre le metriche on-chain indicano che c’è stato un cambiamento nei modelli di tenuta.

Domenica 14 febbraio, i prezzi del Bitcoin hanno raggiunto un massimo storico di 49.850 dollari secondo Tradingview, tuttavia, su alcuni scambi potrebbe aver raggiunto i 50.000 dollari.

Da allora, ha iniziato una brusca correzione facendo cadere i prezzi del 7% in una ricostruzione a poco più di $46k durante le prime contrattazioni in Asia lunedì. Al momento della stampa, Bitcoin stava cambiando di mano a 47.100 dollari e sembrava in pericolo di cadere ulteriormente se gli attuali livelli di supporto falliscono.

Il prossimo livello di supporto al di sotto di quello attuale è poco più di $44k. Ari Paul, CIO di Blocktower Capital, ha riconosciuto quella che chiama una „breve e piccola correzione“, ma è ancora convinto che siamo nel mezzo di una „violenta corsa al toro“;

Stiamo probabilmente entrando (credo) in una breve e piccola correzione ora, ma siamo ancora nel mezzo di una violenta corsa al toro che sarà presto più violenta. Qui c’è un thread su psicologia e salute.

– Ari Paul ⛓️ (@AriDavidPaul) 15 febbraio 2021

Flussi di minatori di Bitcoin e modelli di Hodl

Il fornitore di analisi on-chain, Glassnode, ha osservato che i precedenti mercati toro sono stati caratterizzati da alcuni aspetti come i deflussi dei minatori, tuttavia questo modello deve ancora emergere pienamente nel ciclo attuale. Questo potrebbe indicare che c’è ancora da andare avanti prima che i tori siano finiti.

I precedenti mercati toro di #Bitcoin sono caratterizzati da impronte di maggiori deflussi di minatori di $BTC che erano stati acquisiti negli anni precedenti.

Anche se stiamo vedendo deflussi leggermente superiori di BTC più vecchi, questo stesso modello non è emerso nell’attuale mercato toro. pic.twitter.com/XdaZvNIz38

– glassnode (@glassnode) 14 febbraio 2021

Dan Held di Kraken è convinto che questo potrebbe essere uno degli ultimi grandi „supercicli“ che si aggiungerebbe al concetto che non è ancora finita.

„Cosa succede quando la proprietà di Bitcoin passa dallo 0,01% del mondo all’1%? Cosa succederà quando parte dei 100T$ gestiti dalle istituzioni confluiranno in Bitcoin per preservare la ricchezza? Certamente non passerà da $20k a $100k. Potrebbe passare da $20k a $1M e poi avere solo cicli più piccoli dopo. Questo potrebbe essere uno degli ultimi grandi cicli“.

Glassnode ha anche riferito che c’è stato un aumento dei possessori a breve termine con un crossover rispetto ai possessori a lungo termine. L’ultima volta che è successo è stato nel luglio 2017, mentre quel ciclo di mercato si stava riscaldando.

In ogni caso, il prezzo non si muove in linea retta e i pullback sono una parte sana della scoperta dei prezzi.

Il lunedì mattina vede rosso

Ci sono state grandi correzioni per la maggior parte delle criptovalute ad alta capitalizzazione questa mattina in Asia. Ethereum è sceso del 5% nella giornata, scendendo di nuovo a 1.720 dollari, mentre Binance Coin si sta raffreddando dal suo recente massimo storico, perdendo una quantità simile per assestarsi a 125 dollari.

Ci sono state grandi perdite a due cifre per Cardano, XRP, Polkadot, Litecoin, Chainlink, Stellar e Dogecoin.

L’investitore di Wall Street consiglia a più investitori di investire una piccola percentuale in Bitcoin

Una grande narrativa negli ultimi mesi è l’introduzione del capitale istituzionale nello spazio Bitcoin.

È iniziato nel 2020 con Paul Tudor Jones, un investitore miliardario di Wall Street che ha investito una piccola percentuale del suo fondo in futures BTC. Lo ha fatto in preparazione per l’halving di maggio, scrivendo che la scarsità di Bitcoin lo renderà il “ cavallo più veloce della corsa “ in un mondo in cui c’è un’inflazione dilagante.

I colleghi di Jones a Wall Street hanno seguito l’esempio

Molti investitori macro, noti per fare scommesse asimmetriche come BTC e criptovalute, hanno da allora morso la pillola Bitcoin. Anche i family office stanno iniziando a fare allocazioni a Bitcoin mentre cercano di diversificare le risorse sopravvalutate.

Eppure non tutta Wall Street è in Bitcoin.

Caso in questione: Fidelity Investments da sola ha più di $ 3 trilioni di asset in gestione, che è tre volte la capitalizzazione di mercato dello spazio delle criptovalute.

Il CIO di Guggenheim Investments Scott Minerd , che ha recentemente scoperto il bug di Bitcoin, ha affermato in una recente intervista che più investitori dovrebbero allocare una piccola quantità del proprio portafoglio in questo spazio.

Bitcoin dovrebbe essere acquistato dalla maggior parte degli investitori

Parlando con Bloomberg in un’intervista pubblicata venerdì, Minerd ha commentato che la maggior parte se non tutti gli investitori dovrebbero avere una piccola percentuale del proprio portafoglio in Bitcoin. Egli ha detto:

„Il 2% del tuo portafoglio sarà il 20% del tuo portafoglio prima che questo sia finito. Quindi, non vuoi diventare troppo sovrappeso, ma certamente un’allocazione di un paio di% del tuo portafoglio sembra essere un gioco prudente „.

Il commento fondamentalmente implica che BTC potrebbe apprezzare il 1.000 percento nei prossimi anni per rafforzare le piccole allocazioni di Bitcoin a quelle più grandi.

Wall Street-investeerder adviseert meer investeerders om een ​​paar procent in Bitcoin te steken

Een groot verhaal van de afgelopen maanden is de introductie van institutioneel kapitaal in de Bitcoin- ruimte.

Het begon in 2020 met Paul Tudor Jones, een miljardair Wall Street-investeerder die een paar procent van zijn fonds in BTC-futures stopte. Hij deed dit ter voorbereiding op de halvering van mei en schreef dat Bitcoin’s schaarste het “ snelste paard in de race “ zal maken in een wereld waar de inflatie ongebreideld toeneemt.

Jones ‚collega’s op Wall Street volgden

Veel macro-investeerders, die bekend staan om het maken van asymmetrische weddenschappen zoals BTC en crypto, hebben sindsdien de Bitcoin-pil gebeten. Ook familiekantoren beginnen toewijzingen aan Bitcoin te doen omdat ze proberen te diversifiëren uit overgewaardeerde activa.

Toch staat niet heel Wall Street op Bitcoin.

Voorbeeld: Fidelity Investments alleen al heeft meer dan $ 3 biljoen aan activa onder beheer, wat drie keer de marktkapitalisatie is van de cryptocurrency-ruimte.

Guggenheim Investments CIO Scott Minerd , die onlangs de Bitcoin-bug ontdekte , zei in een recent interview dat meer investeerders een klein deel van hun portefeuille aan deze ruimte zouden moeten besteden .

Bitcoin zou door de meeste investeerders moeten worden gekocht

In een interview met Bloomberg dat vrijdag werd gepubliceerd, merkte Minerd op dat de meeste, zo niet alle beleggers een paar procent van hun portefeuille in Bitcoin zouden moeten hebben. Hij zei:

“2% van uw portefeuille is 20% van uw portefeuille voordat dit voorbij is. Je wilt dus niet te zwaar worden, maar een allocatie van een paar% van je portefeuille lijkt me toch verstandig. “

De opmerking impliceert in feite dat BTC de komende jaren 1.000 procent zou kunnen waarderen om kleine toewijzingen aan Bitcoin te versterken naar grotere.

Dit is vergelijkbaar met opmerkingen van investeerders zoals Tudor Jones. Ze zeggen dat het een rationele gok is om Bitcoin in uw portefeuille te hebben vanwege de extreme hoge prijzen in andere activaklassen en de enorme hoeveelheid inflatie die plaatsvindt in de economie en op de financiële markten.

Minerd aarzelde echter in zijn interview door te stellen dat hij denkt dat Bitcoin momenteel in een „speculatieve razernij“ of manie op korte termijn verkeert.

Hij wees specifiek op het feit dat crypto-uitwisselingen zoals Coinbase en anderen worden overbelast tot het punt waarop ze serieus niet kunnen werken en een deel van de vraag hebben moeten beperken.

Bitcoin heeft misschien nog niet de top bereikt. Zoals eerder gemeld door CryptoSlate , had de cryptocurrency een belangrijk technisch ondersteuningsniveau tijdens de correctie van maandag.

This is what drives the ongoing Bitcoin bull market, Singapore Trading Desk explains

Bitcoin has seen an extremely strong rally in the past few months – despite the ongoing decline.

The cryptocurrency is currently trading for $ 37,000 and is up around 100 percent in the past six weeks. Even more in the last six months.

Other cryptocurrencies besides BTC also performed well.

But what’s behind the persistent bull market? A Singapore-based trading desk suspects the Bitcoin rally is largely a by-product of institutional inflows entering the Bitcoin market through Grayscale. Grayscale Investments is an institutional digital asset manager based in New York.

What drove Bitcoin up?

Prop trading firm and liquidity provider QCP Capital estimates that Bitcoin’s recent rally is largely a by-product of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust, an institutional investment product for BTC.

Bitcoin began to show signs of weakness (buying pressure on the spot market shifted to buying pressure on futures) when Grayscale temporarily suspended inflows in late December.

The sell-off peaked earlier this week as the fund’s suspension ended, QCP explains :

“Previously, we highlighted GBTC as too big to fail in our New Years update, and the Monday / Tuesday sell-off peaked at the end of their two-week new investor freeze. They reopened on Wednesday and this has contained the sell-off as ~ 5k of BTC has been added to their funds in just the 2 days since then.“

The company believes this is a sign that Grayscale’s inflows are actually a big part of Bitcoin’s demand on the spot side:

„Without a doubt, GBTC inflows will remain the driving force behind the market, at least until a US ETF is approved – something we don’t expect any time soon.“

As for the technical outlook for BTC, they seem confident that the general macro trend for the leading crypto asset will remain bullish.

Bitcoin has maintained its parabolic uptrend for the past week, despite falling as low as $ 30,000, traders say.

Thus, while the increased volatility is a worrying sign, it is so far „in perfect line with an exponential trend at this stage“.

Earlier this week, analysts commented that the extremely high volume seen in the $ 30,000 correction in the Bitcoin market on Monday was likely a sign that a reversal was approaching.

Volume spikes are often a sign of price reversals as they mark exhaustion of a bull or bear trend.

Ethereum’s EIP-1559: Alles was Sie wissen müssen

Ethereum’s EIP-1559: Alles was Sie wissen müssen

Das Jahr 2020 war für Ethereum sehr positiv, und der größte Altcoin der Welt geht mit dem richtigen Fuß in das Jahr 2021. Zwischen dem 1. und 3. Januar stieg der Wert der Kryptowährung von 725 $ auf 990 $, wobei ETH am darauffolgenden Tag auch ein Hoch von 1169 $ erreichte.

Der jüngste Bericht von CoinMetrics veranschaulichte die Reife von Ethereum auf dem Markt, vor allem im Zusammenhang mit der Ankündigung der CME-Gruppe, im Februar 2021 ETH-Futures-Kontrakte einzuführen.

Doch während sich die Aktivität bei Bitcoin Up auf Ethereum drastisch verbesserte, führte der rasante Anstieg von DeFi und der Anstieg der NFT-Aktivität auch zu neuen Einschränkungen. Die Transaktionsgebühren von Ethereum stiegen in neue Höhen und der ineffiziente Gebührenmarkt wurde als großer Nachteil angesehen.

Tatsächlich kosteten die Gaspreise mehr als der in einer Transaktion übertragene Wert, und während der DeFi-Welle beschwerten sich viele Nutzer über die Auslastung des Netzwerks.

Vor diesem Hintergrund wird nun EIP-1559 entwickelt, eine EIP, die schon lange als Lösung und Einstieg in die weiterentwickelte Geldpolitik von Ethereum gilt.

Wie EIP-1559 das Gebührensystem von Ethereum verändert

Bevor man die Grundlagen von EIP-1559 versteht, ist es wichtig, den derzeitigen gebotsbasierten Transaktionsmarkt zu verstehen. Unter dem aktuellen Protokoll müssen ETH-Benutzer ein Gebot abgeben, damit die Transaktion über den frühesten Block abgewickelt werden kann. Je höher also das Gebot ist, desto höher sind die Chancen für eine schnelle Transaktion.

Dies ist ein besonderes Problem, wenn das Netzwerk überlastet ist, da die Gebotsgebühr immer weiter ansteigt. Dies war der Kern des Problems, mit dem ETH-Benutzer während des DeFi-Booms konfrontiert waren. Während des DeFi-Booms wurde der Gebotsprozess extrem mühsam, da die Benutzer das Gebot für die Gasgebühr unterschätzten, was zu einem Transaktions-Limbo führte. Und, wenn die Transaktion ging durch, würde es tun, nach Stunden und nicht die typischen 3-5 min.

Ein weiteres Problem mit dem aktuellen System sind die überhöhten Kosten für die Netzwerksicherheit. Da es gebotsbasiert ist, wird es zu einem Fall von je mehr Sie bereit sind, für eine Transaktion zu zahlen, desto besser werden Sie bedient. Miner erhalten Blockgebühren plus einen Anteil an den saftigen Transaktionsgebühren, also erhalten sie mehr für ihre Dienste an der ETH-Gemeinschaft.

Eine feste Gebühr, nicht gebotsbasiert

Wie vorgeschlagen, wird EIP-1559 eine feste Gebühr für alle Transaktionen einführen, die je nach Aktivitätsgrad oder Überlastung des Netzwerks zu einem bestimmten Zeitpunkt variieren wird. Die feste Gebühr oder BASEFEE wird steigen oder fallen, je nachdem wie hoch oder niedrig der Stau ist.

Theoretisch sollte dies die UX dramatisch verbessern, da die Benutzer keine Gasgebühr in irgendeiner Form schätzen müssen. Das System wird die BASEFEE in Abhängigkeit von der Auslastung des Netzes festlegen. Es wird sicherstellen, dass jeder über einen bestimmten Zeitraum den gleichen Marktpreis bezahlt.

EIP-1559 wird es den Nutzern auch ermöglichen, den Minern neben der BASEFEE einen „Tipp“ oder eine GAS_Prämie anzubieten, wenn sie ihre Transaktionspriorität verbessern wollen. Nun ist das Trinkgeld ein wichtiger Teil der Transaktion, da die Miner nichts von der BASEFEE bekommen. Zusätzlich kann der Benutzer auch einen FEECAP festlegen, der die höchste Gebühr darstellt, die er bereit ist zu zahlen (inkl. Trinkgeld).

Während es noch viel mehr zu der Funktionalität von BASEFEE gibt, bleibt das Hauptziel, dass die Gebührenabschätzung für Benutzer und Wallets sehr vorhersehbar bleibt, trotz der Überlastung. Die BASEFEE-Anpassung würde eine Einheitlichkeit der Gebühren und eine flexible Nutzung des Blockraums ermöglichen.

Uma análise da premiada plataforma de negociação de CFDs da Brokereo

Brokereo , a corretora de CFDs on-line com sede em Chipre, emergiu como uma das plataformas de negociação confiáveis nos últimos dias. Pertencente e operado pela Concorde Investments Ltd, é uma plataforma regulamentada licenciada pela CySEC e como mais uma prova de sua confiabilidade, também recebeu o prêmio de Melhor Corretora de FX de Varejo da Europa em 2020.

Na Brokereo, os usuários podem negociar mais de 300 produtos CFD, incluindo criptomoedas, forex, commodities, índices, ações e metais, usando alguns dos melhores softwares de negociação em oferta na indústria hoje.

Negocie em qualquer lugar com a Brokereo

A plataforma Brokereo pode ser acessada na maioria dos dispositivos com tela e capacidade de conexão à Internet. Começando com a interface WebTrader responsiva para navegadores de internet, a plataforma de negociação está disponível no software de desktop MetaTrader 4 independente para computadores Windows e MacOS. Aqueles que desejam negociar em trânsito podem usar o aplicativo móvel MT4 em seus telefones Android e iOS.

O MetaTrader 4 amplamente utilizado é uma das interfaces de negociação padrão da indústria com a qual muitos traders experientes estão familiarizados. É conhecido pelos recursos de personalização, uma longa lista de ferramentas analíticas, gráficos e muito mais.

Primeiros passos no Brokereo

Para começar a negociar, é necessário ter uma conta na Brokereo. A plataforma possui um processo de fácil cadastro onde os usuários deverão fornecer seus dados pessoais como nome completo, endereço de e-mail, número de telefone e definir a senha desejada. Depois disso, eles terão que preencher um questionário simples e preencher os requisitos KYC. O depósito mínimo necessário para iniciar a negociação na Brokereo é de € 250, que pode ser feito usando qualquer uma das várias opções de pagamento disponíveis.

As opções de depósito e saque aceitas incluem transferência eletrônica, cartões de crédito e débito com base em MasterCard e VISA e serviços de pagamento eletrônico como Neteller, Skrill, WebMoney, etc. Exceto para a transferência bancária que pode levar alguns dias para refletir, depósitos e retiradas usando outros métodos são cumpridos rapidamente e o mesmo se reflete nas contas dos usuários entre 24 horas.

A Brokereo oferece vários tipos de contas, atendendo às diversas necessidades da comunidade comercial. As três contas de varejo em oferta incluem a conta SILVER, a conta GOLD e a conta PLATINUM. As principais características de cada tipo de conta são mencionadas na tabela abaixo.

How to mine bitcoins

How do you mine bitcoins? At the end of the day, the idea of getting bitcoin as a reward for doing a job may sound tempting, but it’s actually a lot more complicated than it might seem to those who have never delved into the subject.

First of all, to mine bitcoin you need to find the hashes that validate a block.

It usually takes 10 minutes for one of these hashes to be discovered, so a block is usually mined every 10 minutes. The miner who manages to find the hash that validates a block is currently being given 6.25 BTC created specifically for this purpose as a prize.

With a BTC price of over $20,000, 6.25 bitcoins equals over $145,000, so a single miner who manages to validate a block is currently being given away over $145,000.

The problem arises here. Since bitcoin mining is a competition, where only the first miner to validate a block is rewarded, such a high reward justifies a very high investment in machines that can discover the hashes before the others.

These machines, which are necessary for bitcoin mining, have the very purpose of discovering the hashes that validate blocks. They do this by randomly generating many billions of hashes per second and examining them one by one to see if one of them is validating the block.

These are not insignificant machines, and you need a lot of them to have any real chance of mining even one block.

There are therefore two ways to actually mine bitcoin: either you equip yourself with a large number of these machines and invest a lot of money, or you pool your money with other machine owners and share the revenue.

In the second case, one participates in so-called pools, i.e. very large groups of users who pool the computing power of their machines and share the revenue in proportion to how much computing power they have shared.

In both cases, however, in addition to the hardware, it is also necessary to have the appropriate software, which differs. In both cases, in addition to the hardware, it is also necessary to have the appropriate software, which differs, however, in that those who mine alone must use specific software compatible with the Bitcoin protocol, while those who mine in a pool must use the software made available to the pool.

It should be noted that, depending on how the machines are configured, they may have more or less computing power, so owning and running them is not enough: one must also optimise their configuration. This last activity is very difficult for non-experts.

Finally, it must be said that these machines consume large amounts of electricity, and if the cost of the latter is not low, there is an easy risk of mining at a loss, i.e. not earning enough to cover all expenses.

So while in theory all you need to do to mine bitcoins is to get the right machines (usually ASICs), set them up and use the right software, in reality it is very difficult to do it profitably.

How to mine Bitcoin with cloud mining
There is however also a third way. This is called ‚cloud mining‘, the renting of the necessary equipment from a third party.

Although cloud mining may seem like a much easier way to go, it has two problems.

The first is that, unfortunately, the companies that ostensibly offer cloud mining services are often fraudulent: they do not actually rent anything, but merely take money from users.

These companies are often recognisable because they promise returns, which cannot be guaranteed in any way with real mining, and because they claim to provide a ‚turnkey‘ service, i.e. without asking the user to send money.

In the case of serious cloud mining companies, however, not only is there no promise of returns, since mining is a competition in which one can easily lose, but they also usually require the user to configure the service parameters himself. That is, they leave it to the user to optimise the configuration of the machines he rents, which implies that only experienced users are able to use the service profitably, generating more revenue than the rental costs.

By now, as can be seen quite clearly from the above scenario, bitcoin mining is an activity only for real professionals.

PayPal-sjef ber kryptoindustrien om å jobbe hånd i hånd med regulatorer

Overholdelse er nøkkelen hvis du vil spille spillet, sier PayPal-sjef Dan Schulman.

Det er ingen annen måte for kryptovalutaindustrien å trives uten å jobbe hånd i hånd med regulatorer, mener PayPal-sjef Dan Schulman.

Onsdag deltok Schulman på Web Summit-nettkonferansen for å diskutere den kontantløse tiden i den globale finansnæringen med Squawk Box-verten Andrew Ross Sorkin.

Som en del av diskusjonen adresserte Schulman spørsmål knyttet til regulering av kryptovaluta, og ba industrien om å samarbeide tett med finansielle myndigheter for å få mer nytte til krypto. „Det er bare en måte å nærme seg dette på, og det er å jobbe hånd i hånd med regulatorer,“ argumenterte han.

Schulman sa videre at overholdelse av regelverk er grunnleggende for å tilby tjenester i kryptoindustrien:

“En del av grunnleggende evner er overholdelse av regelverk, full forståelse av sikkerhet, risikostyring, alle finansielle kontroller, FinCEN-kontroller, AML-kontroller. Uten det har du virkelig ingen måte at du skal være på denne arenaen. […] Du må ha dem. ”

Schulman sa at selskapet investerte et ”enormt beløp” i overholdelse av regelverk, og bemerket at PayPal ble det første firmaet som fikk en betinget BitLicense fra regulatorer i New York. „Vi gjør dette hånd i hånd med regulatorer, og det er den eneste måten å gjøre dette på,“ hevdet Schulman.

„Sterkt regulatorisk tilsyn er ekstraordinært viktig, og det har jeg ingen problemer med,“ sa lederen. Schulman uttalte at PayPal har sterke forhold til regulatorer fordi det tar sikte på å forhindre ulovlig praksis som hvitvasking av penger samtidig som det gir en viss økonomisk helse.

I oktober slo PayPal offisielt nyheten om selskapets planer om å introdusere muligheten til å kjøpe, holde og selge en rekke kryptoer, inkludert Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Bitcoin Cash (BCH) og Litecoin (LTC) direkte med PayPal digital lommebok. PayPal rullet deretter ut kryptotjenesten i USA, slik at klienter kunne handle opptil $ 20 000 per uke.

Schulman har tidligere hevdet at PayPal-kryptotjenester etter hvert vil øke bruken av kryptovalutaer.

Bitcoin dominates the US dollar: USD has lost 99% of its value since 2013

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high this year. The year 2020 turned out to be a driver for the BTC price and the combination of all external factors such as US monetary policy, rising household debt and global uncertainty caused by Covid-19 led to a veritable boom in demand for the number 1 crypto currency.

Edward Snowden, probably the best-known whistleblower in history, discussed the Bitcoin / US dollar trading pair in a recent tweet. Snowden showed that the leading currency of the 21st century can record a massive loss against Bitcoin.

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Bitcoin and US dollar: BTC shows strength

The Bitcoin software has been live since January 3rd, 2009 and thus this day counts as the birth of BTC.

Edward Snowden’s motivation to leave his previous life behind and to face enormous psychological and financial consequences was probably the goal of educating people.

To educate people about a policy of information gathering that has no privacy, but only national interest

And out of this motivation, Edward Snowden is also a proponent of Bitcoin. Because the cryptocurrency, which was designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in response to the financial and banking crisis of 2007/2008, is a digital concept of money that does without governments.

Bitcoin (BTC) is therefore the answer to economic repression policies that can be based on the strength of the dollar.

And so Snowden posted a tweet on December 7th about the dollar value in BTC via Twitter.

Investors are withdrawing their bitcoins (BTC) from exchanges: why is this a good sign?

The number of bitcoins (BTC) stored on the exchange platforms is at its lowest. And that’s pretty good news for the rest of the bull run, if Glassnode is to be believed …

Investors withdraw their bitcoins (BTC) from exchanges

Figures from the Glassnode data aggregator show that bitcoins stored on exchanges have hit a particularly low threshold. They had not known this level since October 2018, more than two years ago. And as an analysis by Glassnode explains, it gives some indication of investor expectations .

When they want to sell, they tend to keep their bitcoins on exchanges. Conversely, when BTC investors wish to do HODL , they repatriate their bitcoins to more secure spaces, such as “cold” wallets for example. This trend could therefore indicate that investors are ready to keep their bitcoins for the long term , in order to take advantage of a possible lasting rise in price.

A difference from the last bull run

Where this is particularly noticeable is that this was not the case in the last bull run . In 2017, the number of bitcoins stored on exchanges had skyrocketed:

Investors had sent their BTCs to the platforms to be able to sell quickly, which had caused the price to fall at the beginning of 2018. The conclusion to be drawn is therefore rather positive , according to the analysis:

“The withdrawal of BTC from exchanges is therefore a ‚bullish‘ sign for Bitcoin. [This] suggests investors believe the asset still has growth potential, despite the fact that it has recently approached its all-time high. “

It is true that the market sentiment is on the whole rather optimistic. As is often the case in the middle of a bull run, analysts have made their predictions there. A few days ago, the management of Citibank saw a Bitcoin at $ 300,000 before 2022 . What to attract big investors : we learned the same week that the 2nd richest man in Mexico had placed 10% of his cash in Bitcoin (BTC) …